Trade Jolt

Hedge The Expected Dip in Bitcoin

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Published	Deadline	Asset
Fri Feb 28 2025	Sat Feb 28 2026	option
Sentiment	Risk To Reward	Jolt Maker
bearish	39%	sdadesky
Minimum Outlay	Jolt Guidance Cost	Max Loss Per Pos
$ 140	$ 25	$ 140
Min Gain Per Pos	Max Gain Per Pos	Duration
$ 100	$ 600	293 days
Optimal Conditions	Brokerage Conditions	Account Restrictions
Underlying price above 80000.00	Ability to trade option spreads, both bullish and bearish, with defined risk.	Allowed in Regular and retirement accounts (IRA s)
Probability Gain
70%

Supporting Graph
Rationale

Though I'm an avowed Bitcoin enthusiast, I expect the asset needs to take a pause and is due for a further correction. Why? Because that's how ALL assets move, based on the underlying human psychology behind them. I expect Bitcoin to drop to $70,000 over the next month.
Description

Look at the following chart. When Bitcoin breached its wave at $90,000, I predicted it would make a minimum drop to $79,463, based on Fibonacci mirroring. This is precisely where Bitcoin bounced, and its recovered somewhat back up to 82,500. My technical analysis now calls for a drop do $71,000 level. This represents a penny - perfect 38% retracement from a long term major Elliott Wave pattern (not shown here). This is the most common retracement for financial assets, with 68% and 50% corrections being far less common.

I hold Bitcoin for myself and my customers. I am not selling. However I am hedging the accounts with an option trade. For every $140 I put at risk, I stand to gain $600 if Bitcoin drops to this level. Those are odds I like.

If you have an options account, and are set up to do defined risk trades, you can find out how I accomplish this for $25. I hope to see you in the chatroom.

Disclosure: Investing in options and crypto is inherently risky. This is not a solicitation to buy or sell.Please read our options disclaimer on this site before trying to emulate any trade shown here.

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